League: ITALY: Serie A – Round 24
Match: 20:45 Napoli – Lazio
Prediction: Over 2.5 Goals
Average odds: 1.62
Bookmaker: Unibet
Result: 4:1 WIN!!!


It’s one versus three in Serie A (SA) as league leaders Napoli welcome Lazio in a crucial clash for both sides.
The hosts are only one point ahead of Juventus after 23 games and will be desperate to avoid a slip-up. Injuries threaten to engulf their season with their first-choice back-four unavailable. There was a scare for forward Dries Mertens as well last weekend, but he should be back in action to ease Maurizio Sarri’s concerns.
Lazio missed a great chance to cement their third spot by losing their last two league matches. The 2-1 defeat to Genoa was particularly shocking, with concerns over the squad’s ability to manage the upcoming Europa League (EL) and league ambitions rearing its head!
It will be an interesting battle, nevertheless, as the hosts have the most prolific defence in the league while the visitors boast of the second-best attack.
It won’t be easy for Lazio, as they are up against a side that has lost only once in 11 league matches at home (W8, D2, L1). Incredibly, Napoli have kept five clean sheets in the process, conceding more than one goal only once!
Lazio are the ultimate goal machines on the road, failing to score only once in 12 league games. Nine of those matches (75%) have seen them score at least two goals. No team has scored more than their 29 goals away from home!
Key battles: Napoli’s Dries Mertens has scored five goals in his last five appearances.
Lazio’s Ciro Immobile has 20 goals in the league. Can he score against his hometown club?
Stat attack: Napoli are undefeated in their last five encounters against Lazio, scoring 15 and conceding just two in the process.
Twenty out of Lazio’s last 22 SA games have seen over 2.5 goals scored.