League: ENGLAND: Championship – Round 39
Match: 19:45 Derby – Sunderland
Prediction: BTS – Yes
Average odds: 2.12
Bookmaker: bwin
Result: 1:4 WIN!!!


Fifth-placed Derby (D4, L1) host rock-bottom Sunderland (D2, L3) for a game in which both sides need to prise some much-needed points.
Derby are struggling for form of late and are without a league win since their 3-0 home victory over Brentford on February 3. From their last nine league games, Derby have picked up just a third of the possible 27 points. However, their thirty-game form (W13, D13, L4) has helped them into the playoff positions. Gary Rowett’s team need 11 points from their remaining games to qualify for the playoffs (based on previous season averages).
Sunderland look all-but destined for life in League One and with 13 more losses this season than Derby, they head into this fixture as underdogs. With 35 goals conceded in 19 away fixtures, the ‘Black Cats’ faithful are cursing the owners for their lack of financial investment.
The reverse fixture saw the team’s play out a 1-1 draw with goals from Lewis Grabban (penalty) and a Derby equaliser from Bradley Johnson. Historically, Sunderland have the upper-hand with 58 wins, to Derby’s 48 with 31 draws (in all competitions).
Sunderland give away far too many fouls in dangerous areas and have conceded 55 of their goals inside the box (16 headed). With Derby’s ability to counter-attack on the break, and Sunderland’s weak defending against fast-paced wing-play, could we see a few tactical fouls in this game?
Players to watchMatej Vydra is in sublime form for ‘the Rams’ this season and has 17 goals and three assists.
Aiden McGeady is Sunderland’s main threat in front of goal and has six league goals, but he hasn’t scored in six games.
Stat attack: Referee James Linington has overseen ten previous Derby matches and has awarded 15 yellows, one red and three penalties.
Sunderland have seen three red cards in five games and have one of the league’s worst discipline records – 71 yellows and six reds!
Their four previous meetings (in all comps) have seen under 2.5 goals.